Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Pinto 51.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 52.2%
Defensive zone
Pinto 68.1%
Neutral zone
Pinto 62.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Cozens
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cozens
Pinto
Last 6: Cozens 4-2 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Pinto
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
1
Cozens
Pinto
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Cozens
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
52.5% (825)
-3.1%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
40.0% (10)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
44.4% (27)
-4.9%
On power play, Cozens has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Pinto is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Cozens
Pinto
Home
49.0% (600)
52.8% (453)
Away
47.6% (574)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Cozens
Pinto
P1
46.5%
49.0%
P2
52.9%
53.5%
P3
45.2%
53.7%
OT
53.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2023 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 1, 2023 | 1 | 14:16 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |