Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Pinto 50.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 66.0%
Defensive zone
Cozens 63.3%
Neutral zone
Cozens 65.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Cozens
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Cozens
Pinto
Last 7: Cozens 2-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Cozens
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Cozens
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
51.2% (463)
-4.5%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
50.0% (14)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
36.8% (19)
+5.5%
On power play, Pinto has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cozens is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Cozens shoots right. Pinto is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Cozens
Pinto
Home
46.2% (567)
52.2% (205)
Away
44.9% (579)
49.5% (291)
By Period
Cozens
Pinto
P1
46.5%
48.7%
P2
46.5%
51.8%
P3
44.2%
51.2%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 02:37 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |