Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cozens wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 46.1% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 70.2%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 73.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 71.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Cozens
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Cozens
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Stamkos
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Cozens
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (746)
49.3% (789)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.8% (65)
56.9% (181)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (29)
54.1% (98)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cozens is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Cozens shoots right. Stamkos is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Cozens
Stamkos
Home
43.9% (410)
52.0% (512)
Away
47.2% (430)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Cozens
Stamkos
P1
46.4%
42.1%
P2
41.6%
56.4%
P3
49.4%
53.7%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 13:56 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Jan 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |