Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Cozens wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Stamkos 53.4% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 54.1%
Defensive zone
Cozens 61.5%
Neutral zone
Cozens 57.7%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Cozens
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cozens
Stamkos
Last 9: Cozens 4-5 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Cozens
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cozens
Stamkos
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (859)
55.3% (628)
-5.9%
Power Play
49.5% (186)
55.1% (216)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (129)
40.2% (87)
-0.7%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cozens is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (319).
Cozens shoots right. Stamkos is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Cozens
Stamkos
Home
49.0% (600)
55.5% (499)
Away
47.6% (574)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Cozens
Stamkos
P1
46.5%
50.7%
P2
52.9%
53.8%
P3
45.2%
55.9%
OT
53.8%
87.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 09:44 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 1 | 00:23 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |