Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.5% vs 45.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 45.9% vs Frederic 46.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 51.3%
Defensive zone
Frederic 54.0%
Neutral zone
Frederic 56.4%
Result
Trent Frederic favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Cozens
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cozens
Frederic
Last 5: Cozens 3-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
2
0
Cozens
Frederic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Cozens
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (786)
45.8% (262)
+0.9%
Power Play
43.9% (171)
57.1% (7)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (189)
36.4% (22)
+5.9%
On power play, Frederic has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Cozens is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Cozens shoots right. Frederic is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Cozens
Frederic
Home
46.2% (567)
44.1% (152)
Away
44.9% (579)
46.8% (139)
By Period
Cozens
Frederic
P1
46.5%
41.7%
P2
46.5%
48.9%
P3
44.2%
45.6%
OT
22.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
45.5%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |