Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cozens on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Frederic 46.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 66.3%
Defensive zone
Frederic 56.0%
Neutral zone
Frederic 50.5%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Cozens
Frederic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cozens
Frederic
Last 6: Cozens 4-2 Frederic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
3
0
Cozens
Frederic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cozens
Frederic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frederic
0
1
Cozens
Frederic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Frederic
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
46.3% (909)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
63.3% (30)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
35.5% (31)
+5.5%
On power play, Frederic has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frederic shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Frederic is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Cozens
Frederic
Home
48.2% (2,677)
47.6% (485)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
45.4% (485)
By Period
Cozens
Frederic
P1
49.1%
41.9%
P2
47.7%
48.0%
P3
48.8%
49.8%
OT
34.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Frederic
58.0%▲
54.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Trent Frederic |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 13:01 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Trent Frederic |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:06 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |