Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cozens wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 52.9% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 67.4%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 77.3%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 58.2%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Cozens 3-5 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
3
Cozens
Ostapchuk
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Ostapchuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (606)
51.7% (300)
+0.9%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
33.3% (3)
+25.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
43.6% (55)
-10.3%
On power play, Cozens has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Cozens is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (534).
Cozens shoots right. Ostapchuk is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Home
54.1% (375)
49.1% (161)
Away
52.3% (331)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Cozens
Ostapchuk
P1
55.8%
50.0%
P2
50.6%
45.7%
P3
53.7%
55.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.3%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |