Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 50.6% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 53.8%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 54.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 56.5%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cozens
1
0
Cozens
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (891)
48.3% (271)
+3.1%
Power Play
50.5% (184)
25.0% (4)
+25.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (85)
71.4% (7)
-29.0%
On penalty kill, Ostapchuk has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Cozens is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Cozens shoots right. Ostapchuk is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Home / Away
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Home
49.5% (638)
49.3% (140)
Away
51.9% (522)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Cozens
Ostapchuk
P1
51.9%
49.1%
P2
46.4%
48.9%
P3
54.2%
47.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
50.6%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |