Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.2%). Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.4% vs Ostapchuk 48.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 64.4%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 59.1%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 51.9%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Last 9: Cozens 4-5 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
2
3
Cozens
Ostapchuk
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Cozens
Ostapchuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (4,075)
48.5% (612)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.4% (714)
28.6% (7)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
46.8% (62)
-5.8%
On power play, Cozens has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Cozens is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,779).
Cozens shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Cozens
Ostapchuk
Home
48.2% (2,677)
48.6% (319)
Away
48.6% (2,551)
47.8% (362)
By Period
Cozens
Ostapchuk
P1
49.1%
48.2%
P2
47.7%
45.8%
P3
48.8%
50.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
48.0%▼
52.5%
48.4%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Mar 15, 2026 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:41 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 16:06 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |