Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gambrell on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Bonino 48.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 63.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 59.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 58.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Gambrell
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gambrell
Bonino
Last 6: Gambrell 4-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
1
Gambrell
Bonino
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Gambrell
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
0
Gambrell
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (266)
48.1% (324)
-1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
57.9% (38)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (37)
44.3% (88)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Gambrell shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Bonino
Home
46.6% (161)
52.0% (244)
Away
43.4% (145)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Gambrell
Bonino
P1
44.3%
48.0%
P2
46.6%
42.9%
P3
44.0%
53.9%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:07 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |