Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Gambrell wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Bonino 50.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Gambrell 53.0%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 65.5%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 58.3%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Gambrell
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Gambrell
Bonino
Last 10: Gambrell 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
6
7
Gambrell
Bonino
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
6
Gambrell
Bonino
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gambrell
5
4
Gambrell
Bonino
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
50.6% (8,315)
-3.2%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
54.1% (972)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
44.6% (1,693)
-4.2%
On power play, Bonino has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Gambrell shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Bonino
Home
44.3% (994)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
48.1% (980)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Gambrell
Bonino
P1
44.3%
50.6%
P2
49.8%
48.5%
P3
44.5%
51.1%
OT
12.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:07 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 07:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:31 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:21 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |