Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 49.0% vs Sturm 52.5% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Sturm 56.5%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 62.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.1%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Gambrell
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (504)
54.0% (480)
-2.6%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
28.6% (7)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (94)
50.0% (102)
-13.8%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Gambrell is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Gambrell shoots right. Sturm is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Sturm
Home
46.7% (240)
54.0% (287)
Away
50.3% (364)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Gambrell
Sturm
P1
43.0%
53.5%
P2
53.7%
51.0%
P3
49.8%
55.1%
Final 5 min
44.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.8%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%