Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Sturm 55.2% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 51.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 71.0%
Neutral zone
Sturm 56.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Gambrell
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (266)
56.1% (716)
-9.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
67.7% (31)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (37)
51.1% (133)
-16.0%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Gambrell shoots right. Sturm is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Sturm
Home
46.6% (161)
55.6% (412)
Away
43.4% (145)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Gambrell
Sturm
P1
44.3%
59.6%
P2
46.6%
52.0%
P3
44.0%
55.5%
Final 5 min
42.3%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%