Scouting Report
Dylan Gambrell holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Cates 40.4% (+5.6%)
Offensive zone
Cates 59.0%
Defensive zone
Cates 50.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.0%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Gambrell
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (266)
40.4% (841)
+5.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
42.4% (66)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (37)
32.7% (147)
+2.4%
On power play, Gambrell has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Gambrell shoots right. Cates is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Cates
Home
46.6% (161)
38.2% (566)
Away
43.4% (145)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Gambrell
Cates
P1
44.3%
40.5%
P2
46.6%
42.4%
P3
44.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%