Scouting Report
Dylan Gambrell holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Gambrell wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs Cates 43.2% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 52.0%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 74.4%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 57.7%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Gambrell
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gambrell
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,627)
44.1% (2,742)
+3.3%
Power Play
36.4% (33)
43.0% (242)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (314)
34.9% (373)
+5.5%
On power play, Cates has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Gambrell is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,434).
Gambrell shoots right. Cates is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,073).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Cates
Home
44.3% (994)
43.8% (1,663)
Away
48.1% (980)
42.1% (1,694)
By Period
Gambrell
Cates
P1
44.3%
44.5%
P2
49.8%
43.5%
P3
44.5%
41.2%
OT
12.5%
29.4%
Final 5 min
44.1%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |