Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 49.0% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 92.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 78.6%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Gambrell
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Gambrell
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
2
0
Gambrell
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (504)
56.6% (1,064)
-5.2%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
60.4% (260)
-27.1%
Penalty Kill
36.2% (94)
54.0% (261)
-17.8%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gambrell is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Gambrell shoots right. O'Reilly is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (582).
Home / Away
Gambrell
O'Reilly
Home
46.7% (240)
54.9% (801)
Away
50.3% (364)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Gambrell
O'Reilly
P1
43.0%
58.0%
P2
53.7%
56.7%
P3
49.8%
55.4%
Final 5 min
44.9%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:07 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |