Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.3% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-10.7%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 67.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 52.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 53.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Gambrell
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (266)
56.1% (690)
-9.9%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
64.6% (96)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
35.1% (37)
45.9% (109)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Gambrell shoots right. O'Reilly is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Gambrell
O'Reilly
Home
46.6% (161)
58.3% (408)
Away
43.4% (145)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Gambrell
O'Reilly
P1
44.3%
57.7%
P2
46.6%
54.8%
P3
44.0%
55.2%
Final 5 min
42.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%