Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +15.3% FO% edge overall. Holloway wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 44.4% vs Dowd 50.7% (-15.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holloway 88.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 88.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 88.6%
11.4%
88.6%
Holloway
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Holloway
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Holloway
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (46)
55.2% (625)
-18.2%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
57.1% (7)
-25.8%
On power play, Dowd has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Holloway is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Holloway shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Holloway
Dowd
Home
47.8% (23)
53.7% (445)
Away
28.2% (39)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Holloway
Dowd
P1
34.6%
48.8%
P2
29.4%
49.3%
P3
42.1%
54.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
50.0%▲
45.0%
35.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |