Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Holloway wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 46.2% vs Dowd 50.7% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holloway 85.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 60.2%
Neutral zone
Holloway 61.3%
Result
Dylan Holloway favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Holloway
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Holloway
Dowd
Last 8: Holloway 3-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Holloway
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Holloway
Dowd
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (262)
52.4% (6,009)
-7.4%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
56.1% (164)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
44.1% (1,635)
+30.9%
On penalty kill, Holloway has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Holloway is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Holloway shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Holloway
Dowd
Home
50.7% (148)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
39.9% (163)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Holloway
Dowd
P1
40.9%
51.7%
P2
37.9%
50.4%
P3
55.0%
50.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
50.0%▲
45.0%
45.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Dylan Holloway |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Holloway |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Holloway |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 2 | 02:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |