Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Holloway wins 31.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 44.4% vs Hertl 54.5% (-19.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 80.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 66.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Holloway
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Holloway
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holloway
1
0
Holloway
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
37.0% (46)
54.1% (1,117)
-17.1%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
59.8% (296)
-28.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Holloway is 31.6% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Holloway shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Holloway
Hertl
Home
47.8% (23)
54.3% (709)
Away
28.2% (39)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Holloway
Hertl
P1
34.6%
51.6%
P2
29.4%
53.6%
P3
42.1%
58.6%
Final 5 min
53.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
52.0%▲
46.5%
35.5%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Dylan Holloway |