Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 50.3% vs Hertl 57.2% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 80.1%
Defensive zone
Hertl 71.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 64.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Holloway
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Holloway
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holloway
1
0
Holloway
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (46)
58.1% (823)
-12.4%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
56.2% (265)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
62.9% (35)
+37.1%
On penalty kill, Holloway has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Holloway is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Holloway shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Holloway
Hertl
Home
60.0% (30)
59.7% (561)
Away
41.4% (29)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Holloway
Hertl
P1
43.8%
51.6%
P2
29.4%
63.8%
P3
69.2%
58.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
50.0%▲
45.0%
50.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Dylan Holloway |