Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holloway 50.4% vs Hertl 56.6% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 77.6%
Defensive zone
Hertl 71.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 71.7%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Holloway
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Holloway
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holloway
1
0
Holloway
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holloway
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (20)
56.6% (632)
-6.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
58.7% (206)
+41.3%
On power play, Holloway has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Holloway is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Holloway shoots left. Hertl is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Home / Away
Holloway
Hertl
Home
53.8% (13)
59.7% (434)
Away
50.0% (8)
54.9% (426)
By Period
Holloway
Hertl
P1
66.7%
51.0%
P2
37.5%
64.0%
P3
57.1%
57.8%
Final 5 min
66.7%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holloway
52.0%▲
46.5%
52.4%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Dylan Holloway |