Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kane on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.9% vs Kane 45.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kane 84.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 75.4%
Neutral zone
Kane 63.3%
Result
Evander Kane favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Larkin
Kane
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Larkin
Kane
Last 8: Larkin 3-5 Kane
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
0
2
Larkin
Kane
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Kane
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kane
1
3
Larkin
Kane
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kane
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (1,057)
41.9% (198)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.4% (140)
51.4% (70)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (117)
50.0% (2)
-1.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kane shoots left. Larkin is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Larkin shoots left. Kane is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kane
Home
51.4% (652)
45.8% (142)
Away
48.5% (662)
43.0% (128)
By Period
Larkin
Kane
P1
49.1%
42.3%
P2
52.0%
41.5%
P3
48.0%
51.8%
OT
52.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.9%
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Evander Kane |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Evander Kane |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evander Kane |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Evander Kane |