Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kane shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Kane 45.4% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 93.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 80.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Larkin
Kane
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Larkin
Kane
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Kane
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kane
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
33.3% (33)
+18.4%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
42.1% (19)
+16.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kane shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Kane is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kane
Home
52.4% (647)
35.0% (20)
Away
52.7% (643)
37.5% (32)
By Period
Larkin
Kane
P1
52.2%
50.0%
P2
53.1%
23.8%
P3
51.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
55.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |