Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kane shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Kane 45.1% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kane 55.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 91.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 66.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Larkin
Kane
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Larkin
Kane
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Kane
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kane
1
3
Larkin
Kane
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
1
Larkin
Kane
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kane
2
4
Larkin
Kane
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kane
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
44.2% (1,039)
+7.5%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
46.1% (360)
+12.4%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
46.8% (79)
+3.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kane shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Kane is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (853).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kane
Home
54.0% (6,238)
45.8% (756)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
43.8% (722)
By Period
Larkin
Kane
P1
52.7%
44.4%
P2
53.1%
45.3%
P3
52.1%
45.2%
OT
58.4%
38.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Kane
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 8, 2025 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | OT | 04:26 | Defensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evander Kane |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 04:19 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 16:51 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 14:58 | Neutral | Evander Kane |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 12:23 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 05:53 | Neutral | Evander Kane |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evander Kane |
| Nov 17, 2017 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:49 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Evander Kane |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |