Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Chytil 40.3% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chytil 52.8%
Defensive zone
Chytil 52.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 54.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Larkin
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Chytil
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
1
2
Larkin
Chytil
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Chytil
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
38.9% (470)
+12.1%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
37.8% (37)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
12.5% (8)
+37.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +37.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Larkin is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (851).
Larkin shoots left. Chytil is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Larkin
Chytil
Home
54.9% (721)
40.1% (272)
Away
49.6% (641)
36.6% (243)
By Period
Larkin
Chytil
P1
52.4%
39.6%
P2
50.8%
34.5%
P3
54.4%
41.4%
Final 5 min
57.8%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
38.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |