Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Chytil shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Chytil 41.2% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 83.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 81.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 84.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Larkin
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Larkin
Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Chytil
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
39.9% (579)
+13.7%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
38.3% (47)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
40.0% (5)
+8.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Chytil is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Home / Away
Larkin
Chytil
Home
56.6% (700)
38.2% (285)
Away
52.1% (655)
41.0% (346)
By Period
Larkin
Chytil
P1
55.4%
38.0%
P2
54.7%
42.1%
P3
52.7%
39.2%
OT
59.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
38.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |