Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Chytil on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Chytil shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Chytil 42.3% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Chytil leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Chytil 68.1%
Defensive zone
Chytil 73.1%
Neutral zone
Chytil 73.3%
Result
Filip Chytil favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Larkin
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Larkin
Chytil
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chytil
3
5
Larkin
Chytil
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Chytil
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chytil
4
6
Larkin
Chytil
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
42.1% (2,535)
+9.6%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
42.2% (206)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
37.5% (24)
+12.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Chytil is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,850).
Home / Away
Larkin
Chytil
Home
54.0% (6,238)
42.8% (1,337)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
41.4% (1,428)
By Period
Larkin
Chytil
P1
52.7%
40.8%
P2
53.1%
43.8%
P3
52.1%
41.4%
OT
58.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Chytil
50.0%▲
47.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:54 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 06:42 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:05 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 16:56 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:14 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 04:16 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Filip Chytil |
| Jan 31, 2020 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Filip Chytil |