Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Borgstrom 43.4% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 75.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 66.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 69.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
Larkin
Borgstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Larkin
Borgstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Borgstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Borgstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Borgstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
40.9% (193)
+10.9%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
30.0% (10)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
0.0% (1)
+47.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +47.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Borgstrom shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Borgstrom is 40.7% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Larkin
Borgstrom
Home
55.6% (662)
37.6% (93)
Away
48.3% (542)
42.3% (111)
By Period
Larkin
Borgstrom
P1
49.9%
41.0%
P2
52.7%
40.3%
P3
53.0%
39.4%
Final 5 min
49.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |