Dylan Larkin vs Henrik Borgstrom
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Borgstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Borgstrom 42.0% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 93.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 93.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 92.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 93.5%
93.5%
6.5%
Larkin
Borgstrom
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Larkin
Borgstrom
Last 8: Larkin 7-1 Borgstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Borgstrom
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Borgstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Borgstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Borgstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
41.1% (640)
+10.6%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
37.0% (27)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
33.3% (6)
+16.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Borgstrom shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Borgstrom is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Home / Away
Larkin
Borgstrom
Home
54.0% (6,238)
42.4% (309)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
39.6% (364)
By Period
Larkin
Borgstrom
P1
52.7%
44.9%
P2
53.1%
36.0%
P3
52.1%
42.6%
OT
58.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Borgstrom
46.0%▲
40.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Henrik Borgstrom |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |