Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Compher 48.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 90.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 79.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Larkin
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Larkin
Compher
Last 10: Larkin 9-1 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
0
Larkin
Compher
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Compher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
49.3% (1,149)
+4.3%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
53.9% (204)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
43.6% (312)
+5.1%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Larkin
Compher
Home
56.6% (700)
50.7% (872)
Away
52.1% (655)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Larkin
Compher
P1
55.4%
49.9%
P2
54.7%
47.9%
P3
52.7%
49.0%
OT
59.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
57.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |