Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Compher 47.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 32-10 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 94.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 78.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 86.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Larkin
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
10
(42 meetings)
32
10
Larkin
Compher
Last 10: Larkin 9-1 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
15
3
Larkin
Compher
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
11
6
Larkin
Compher
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
1
Larkin
Compher
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
48.7% (5,716)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
52.6% (682)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
41.9% (1,421)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Home / Away
Larkin
Compher
Home
54.0% (6,238)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
Larkin
Compher
P1
52.7%
49.1%
P2
53.1%
47.3%
P3
52.1%
47.4%
OT
58.4%
40.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |