Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Beagle 58.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 10-2 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 96.5%
Defensive zone
Beagle 55.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 72.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Larkin
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
10
(12 meetings)
2
10
Larkin
Beagle
Last 10: Larkin 1-9 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
5
Larkin
Beagle
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
4
Larkin
Beagle
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
59.0% (458)
-8.0%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
84.2% (19)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
57.2% (201)
-7.6%
On power play, Beagle has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Larkin shoots left. Beagle is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beagle
Home
54.9% (721)
62.7% (306)
Away
49.6% (641)
56.2% (372)
By Period
Larkin
Beagle
P1
52.4%
64.5%
P2
50.8%
56.7%
P3
54.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
57.8%
62.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |