Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Beagle 56.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.4%
Defensive zone
Beagle 52.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 59.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Larkin
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
19
(35 meetings)
16
19
Larkin
Beagle
Last 10: Larkin 4-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
11
2
Larkin
Beagle
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
8
Larkin
Beagle
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
4
9
Larkin
Beagle
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
57.5% (4,994)
-5.8%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
60.5% (119)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
54.2% (1,554)
-4.0%
On even strength, Beagle has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beagle
Home
54.0% (6,238)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Larkin
Beagle
P1
52.7%
57.4%
P2
53.1%
57.1%
P3
52.1%
56.2%
OT
58.4%
41.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 03:48 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 15:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |