Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Beagle 55.9% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 78.0%
Defensive zone
Beagle 69.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 57.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Larkin
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Larkin
Beagle
Last 6: Larkin 3-3 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Larkin
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Beagle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
57.2% (353)
-5.4%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
87.5% (16)
-31.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
51.6% (95)
-4.2%
On power play, Beagle has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Beagle is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Larkin
Beagle
Home
55.6% (662)
62.0% (200)
Away
48.3% (542)
53.4% (264)
By Period
Larkin
Beagle
P1
49.9%
55.8%
P2
52.7%
60.1%
P3
53.0%
54.5%
OT
68.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.3%
63.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 13:31 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |