Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Skinner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Skinner 45.5% (+13.5%)
Offensive zone
Skinner 75.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 82.1%
Neutral zone
Skinner 51.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Larkin
Skinner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Skinner
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
41.0% (105)
+14.9%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
50.0% (18)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
0.0% (1)
+46.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Skinner shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Skinner is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (81).
Home / Away
Larkin
Skinner
Home
56.0% (654)
43.8% (64)
Away
54.8% (639)
40.0% (60)
By Period
Larkin
Skinner
P1
54.4%
38.6%
P2
55.9%
40.5%
P3
55.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
41.9%