Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lammikko on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Lammikko 46.3% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.6%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 68.2%
Neutral zone
Lammikko 55.5%
Result
Juho Lammikko favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Larkin
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Larkin
Lammikko
Last 9: Larkin 4-5 Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Lammikko
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
1
4
Larkin
Lammikko
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Lammikko
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
45.5% (253)
+4.0%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
50.0% (4)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
36.8% (19)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Larkin is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Larkin shoots left. Lammikko is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lammikko
Home
48.5% (388)
48.9% (133)
Away
50.6% (342)
41.3% (143)
By Period
Larkin
Lammikko
P1
52.1%
48.3%
P2
46.9%
41.9%
P3
49.2%
44.6%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 30, 2021 | OT | 01:47 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |