Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lammikko shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Lammikko 47.9% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 76.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 52.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Larkin
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Larkin
Lammikko
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
2
Larkin
Lammikko
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
1
6
Larkin
Lammikko
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Lammikko
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
48.6% (1,252)
+3.1%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
59.3% (27)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
37.0% (135)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Lammikko is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (948).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lammikko
Home
54.0% (6,238)
48.0% (690)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
47.5% (724)
By Period
Larkin
Lammikko
P1
52.7%
48.7%
P2
53.1%
47.6%
P3
52.1%
46.9%
OT
58.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 15:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 30, 2021 | OT | 01:47 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 08:58 | Offensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 17:40 | Neutral | Juho Lammikko |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |