Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Lammikko 50.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 79.1%
Defensive zone
Lammikko 55.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 62.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 67.6%
67.6%
32.4%
Larkin
Lammikko
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Lammikko
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Lammikko
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Lammikko
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lammikko
0
2
Larkin
Lammikko
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lammikko
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
52.3% (616)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
56.3% (16)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
37.1% (62)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lammikko shoots left. Larkin is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Larkin shoots left. Lammikko is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lammikko
Home
55.6% (662)
49.2% (364)
Away
48.3% (542)
53.0% (330)
By Period
Larkin
Lammikko
P1
49.9%
51.1%
P2
52.7%
52.3%
P3
53.0%
49.8%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Lammikko
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Juho Lammikko |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 02:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |