Dylan Larkin vs Justin Dowling

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dowling shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.4% vs Dowling 49.5% (+19.3%)
Offensive zone Larkin 54.9%
Defensive zone Larkin 66.0%
Neutral zone Larkin 55.6%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Larkin Dowling
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
33.3% (3)
+18.4%
On even strength, Larkin has a +18.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Larkin is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Larkin shoots left. Dowling is 100.0% vs left-shot opponents (1).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dowling
Home
52.4% (647)
100.0% (1)
Away
52.7% (643)
0.0% (2)
By Period
Larkin
Dowling
P1
52.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
0.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%
49.5%
52.6%
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%