Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Dach 37.3% (+16.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 87.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 86.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 85.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Larkin
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
12
(28 meetings)
16
12
Larkin
Dach
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Dach
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
1
Larkin
Dach
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
7
9
Larkin
Dach
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
36.5% (1,423)
+15.2%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
35.7% (98)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
36.0% (25)
+14.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,416).
Larkin shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dach
Home
54.0% (6,238)
37.0% (857)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
35.8% (689)
By Period
Larkin
Dach
P1
52.7%
35.3%
P2
53.1%
34.5%
P3
52.1%
40.4%
OT
58.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |