Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +19.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.1% vs Dach 35.5% (+19.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 61.6%
Defensive zone
Dach 71.9%
Neutral zone
Dach 70.8%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Larkin
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Larkin
Dach
Last 9: Larkin 3-6 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
3
6
Larkin
Dach
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (903)
32.5% (510)
+19.3%
Power Play
56.0% (225)
36.8% (19)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (76)
37.5% (16)
+9.9%
On even strength, Larkin has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Larkin is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (483).
Larkin shoots left. Dach is 31.7% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dach
Home
55.6% (662)
33.5% (278)
Away
48.3% (542)
32.2% (267)
By Period
Larkin
Dach
P1
49.9%
35.3%
P2
52.7%
30.6%
P3
53.0%
33.7%
OT
68.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.3%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
32.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 06:41 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 09:19 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |