Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Dach 41.9% (+16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 51.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Larkin
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Dach
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Dach
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
38.5% (213)
+15.1%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
33.3% (9)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
40.0% (5)
+8.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Larkin is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Larkin shoots left. Dach is 39.2% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dach
Home
56.6% (700)
38.8% (147)
Away
52.1% (655)
37.5% (80)
By Period
Larkin
Dach
P1
55.4%
36.3%
P2
54.7%
40.0%
P3
52.7%
40.0%
OT
59.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
27.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 12:10 | Offensive | Kirby Dach |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |