Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.3% vs Dach 38.8% (+18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 85.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 81.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 83.6%
83.6%
16.4%
Larkin
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Dach
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Dach
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Dach
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (973)
34.8% (210)
+16.2%
Power Play
59.5% (252)
10.0% (10)
+49.5%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (137)
50.0% (2)
-0.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +49.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Larkin is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Larkin shoots left. Dach is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dach
Home
54.9% (721)
35.5% (121)
Away
49.6% (641)
31.7% (101)
By Period
Larkin
Dach
P1
52.4%
36.0%
P2
50.8%
29.6%
P3
54.4%
36.4%
Final 5 min
57.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.4%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
33.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |