Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 49.5% vs Dach 43.6% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 82.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 73.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 74.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Larkin
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Larkin
Dach
Last 6: Larkin 4-2 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Dach
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Dach
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (562)
42.7% (157)
+6.8%
Power Play
51.5% (134)
31.3% (32)
+20.2%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (34)
0.0% (2)
+41.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Larkin is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (232).
Larkin shoots left. Dach is 35.9% vs left-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dach
Home
48.5% (388)
40.5% (111)
Away
50.6% (342)
40.0% (80)
By Period
Larkin
Dach
P1
52.1%
35.4%
P2
46.9%
39.7%
P3
49.2%
45.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
49.5%
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 14:14 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |