Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.1% vs Couture 47.6% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 88.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 76.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Larkin
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Larkin
Couture
Last 9: Larkin 6-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Couture
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Couture
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Couture
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (886)
49.2% (1,083)
+4.4%
Power Play
59.3% (317)
56.7% (60)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (152)
35.4% (206)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Larkin is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Larkin shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Home / Away
Larkin
Couture
Home
56.6% (700)
49.6% (713)
Away
52.1% (655)
45.0% (636)
By Period
Larkin
Couture
P1
55.4%
47.2%
P2
54.7%
45.0%
P3
52.7%
50.0%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |