Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Couture 49.0% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 54.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 51.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Larkin
Couture
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
44.9% (78)
+11.0%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
57.1% (7)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
63.6% (11)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Couture is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (70).
Home / Away
Larkin
Couture
Home
56.0% (654)
45.2% (62)
Away
54.8% (639)
52.9% (34)
By Period
Larkin
Couture
P1
54.4%
55.2%
P2
55.9%
44.4%
P3
55.2%
50.0%
OT
64.0%
16.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
55.4%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.9%