Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.4% vs 56.0%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Larkin wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Glendening shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Glendening 55.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 77.6%
Defensive zone
Glendening 76.5%
Neutral zone
Glendening 55.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Larkin
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Larkin
Glendening
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
1
Larkin
Glendening
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Glendening
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
58.3% (725)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
50.0% (8)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
48.4% (215)
-2.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Larkin is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (468).
Larkin shoots left. Glendening is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Larkin
Glendening
Home
56.0% (654)
55.4% (469)
Away
54.8% (639)
56.6% (479)
By Period
Larkin
Glendening
P1
54.4%
53.5%
P2
55.9%
57.0%
P3
55.2%
58.0%
OT
64.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
55.4%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:35 | Offensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:39 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 06:24 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 14:00 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |