Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.4% vs Glendening 51.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.0%
Defensive zone
Glendening 65.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Larkin
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Larkin
Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Glendening
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
2
Larkin
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (878)
53.5% (404)
-1.8%
Power Play
58.5% (246)
100.0% (4)
-41.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (166)
46.8% (141)
+1.4%
On power play, Glendening has a +41.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Larkin is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (451).
Larkin shoots left. Glendening is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Larkin
Glendening
Home
52.4% (647)
46.9% (241)
Away
52.7% (643)
56.2% (308)
By Period
Larkin
Glendening
P1
52.2%
50.6%
P2
53.1%
51.8%
P3
51.7%
52.9%
OT
61.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.6%
Glendening
56.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |