Dylan Larkin vs Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 54.2% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 84.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 93.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 88.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Larkin
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Larkin
Celebrini
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Celebrini
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Celebrini
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Celebrini
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,117)
47.2% (901)
+5.4%
Power Play
60.7% (305)
54.7% (139)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (177)
54.5% (11)
+1.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Larkin is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Larkin shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Home / Away
Larkin
Celebrini
Home
54.7% (783)
47.6% (553)
Away
54.3% (816)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Larkin
Celebrini
P1
55.9%
46.6%
P2
56.1%
46.4%
P3
51.1%
51.8%
OT
66.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
54.5%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 15:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |