Dylan Larkin vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Celebrini 48.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 21-11 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 87.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 79.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Larkin
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
11
(32 meetings)
21
11
Larkin
Celebrini
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
4
Larkin
Celebrini
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
5
Larkin
Celebrini
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
2
Larkin
Celebrini
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (9,019)
47.7% (1,825)
+4.0%
Power Play
58.5% (2,125)
53.8% (247)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,122)
55.6% (36)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,850).
Larkin shoots left. Celebrini is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,444).
Home / Away
Larkin
Celebrini
Home
54.0% (6,238)
47.7% (1,076)
Away
51.3% (6,028)
49.4% (1,032)
By Period
Larkin
Celebrini
P1
52.7%
47.2%
P2
53.1%
46.9%
P3
52.1%
51.5%
OT
58.4%
47.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.7%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 07:03 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:30 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 18:12 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |